:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2023 Feb 03 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2022 12 05 9.6e+07 483 5.2e+07 7.4e+07 2.7e+07 2022 12 06 8.9e+07 391 2.1e+07 9.8e+06 5.5e+06 2022 12 07 5.7e+07 377 2.0e+07 8.4e+06 8.7e+06 2022 12 08 1.3e+06 522 3.0e+06 6.8e+07 8.0e+07 2022 12 09 1.6e+06 528 3.0e+06 6.7e+07 8.0e+07 2022 12 10 1.7e+06 469 1.3e+06 3.1e+07 2.8e+07 2022 12 11 2.0e+06 465 2.5e+06 3.2e+07 2.4e+07 2022 12 12 5.1e+06 467 4.9e+06 2.0e+07 1.6e+07 2022 12 13 8.9e+06 431 5.4e+06 1.0e+07 7.4e+06 2022 12 14 1.1e+07 351 4.0e+06 2.7e+06 2.6e+06 2022 12 15 2.4e+06 373 1.5e+06 2.7e+06 2.6e+06 2022 12 16 1.9e+06 328 6.9e+05 7.2e+05 9.7e+05 2022 12 17 2.1e+06 315 1.1e+06 4.0e+05 4.3e+05 2022 12 18 2.0e+06 303 2.1e+06 3.1e+05 1.7e+05 2022 12 19 1.1e+06 340 1.2e+06 3.6e+05 5.6e+05 2022 12 20 1.4e+06 420 1.8e+06 1.3e+06 2.0e+06 2022 12 21 1.3e+06 396 1.7e+06 1.1e+06 1.8e+06 2022 12 22 1.5e+06 421 2.1e+06 1.9e+06 3.4e+06 2022 12 23 2.0e+06 509 6.4e+06 7.8e+06 2.3e+07 2022 12 24 4.2e+07 563 1.7e+08 3.8e+07 6.4e+07 2022 12 25 8.3e+07 553 2.3e+08 5.8e+07 9.5e+07 2022 12 26 7.1e+07 538 8.7e+07 5.9e+07 1.4e+08 2022 12 27 3.5e+07 525 6.2e+07 6.4e+07 8.3e+07 2022 12 28 5.7e+07 516 4.6e+07 7.3e+07 7.8e+07 2022 12 29 8.2e+07 444 4.0e+07 1.9e+07 1.4e+07 2022 12 30 7.4e+07 525 9.1e+07 4.9e+07 3.5e+07 2022 12 31 6.4e+07 573 7.5e+07 8.6e+07 4.6e+07 2023 01 01 1.1e+08 542 1.5e+08 9.0e+07 5.0e+07 2023 01 02 1.6e+08 476 1.0e+08 3.8e+07 2.5e+07 2023 01 03 1.4e+08 393 2.5e+07 8.1e+06 8.2e+06 2023 01 04 3.9e+06 407 3.3e+06 1.3e+07 1.4e+07 2023 01 05 2.7e+06 386 1.9e+06 6.8e+06 8.7e+06 2023 01 06 1.7e+06 485 3.4e+06 3.0e+07 3.2e+07 2023 01 07 1.6e+06 441 1.6e+06 1.1e+07 8.3e+06 2023 01 08 4.3e+06 418 3.2e+06 7.0e+06 7.8e+06 2023 01 09 3.9e+06 401 2.8e+06 5.4e+06 3.2e+06 2023 01 10 6.4e+06 384 5.8e+06 2.7e+06 1.9e+06 2023 01 11 2.6e+06 411 2.1e+06 3.0e+06 2.6e+06 2023 01 12 2.7e+06 416 2.6e+06 3.5e+06 2.1e+06 2023 01 13 5.2e+06 421 6.4e+06 2.7e+06 2.2e+06 2023 01 14 3.3e+06 500 5.4e+06 7.8e+06 7.4e+06 2023 01 15 6.8e+06 470 8.7e+06 6.8e+06 5.4e+06 2023 01 16 1.9e+07 489 2.5e+07 1.1e+07 1.0e+07 2023 01 17 1.5e+07 448 1.2e+07 7.0e+06 7.5e+06 2023 01 18 6.4e+06 437 4.8e+06 6.2e+06 1.2e+07 2023 01 19 2.7e+06 496 3.9e+06 1.9e+07 3.7e+07 2023 01 20 2.4e+06 396 4.7e+05 1.9e+06 3.8e+06 2023 01 21 2.9e+06 490 2.7e+07 1.4e+07 1.7e+07 2023 01 22 7.7e+06 460 6.5e+06 7.5e+06 6.6e+06 2023 01 23 9.3e+06 508 1.5e+07 1.6e+07 1.7e+07 2023 01 24 1.1e+07 410 1.7e+06 1.9e+06 2.2e+06 2023 01 25 1.1e+07 473 7.4e+07 1.1e+07 1.9e+07 2023 01 26 6.2e+06 495 6.8e+06 2.3e+07 2.1e+07 2023 01 27 7.4e+06 538 1.6e+07 4.0e+07 4.3e+07 2023 01 28 1.3e+07 526 1.4e+07 3.3e+07 2.2e+07 2023 01 29 1.9e+07 487 1.7e+07 2.0e+07 1.3e+07 2023 01 30 2.6e+07 421 1.2e+07 6.6e+06 4.8e+06 2023 01 31 2.8e+06 477 2.8e+06 1.3e+07 1.4e+07 2023 02 01 8.6e+06 391 3.5e+06 3.2e+06 2.2e+06 2023 02 02 1.5e+06 423 1.5e+06 3.5e+06 4.2e+06