:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2019 Sep 16 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2019 07 18 9.0e+07 386 4.5e+07 2.1e+06 1.7e+06 2019 07 19 9.6e+07 351 5.0e+07 1.5e+06 1.6e+06 2019 07 20 9.3e+07 322 3.8e+07 9.8e+05 8.4e+05 2019 07 21 6.5e+07 335 5.6e+07 1.3e+06 2.1e+06 2019 07 22 1.7e+06 374 1.7e+06 2.7e+06 3.3e+06 2019 07 23 1.0e+06 404 2.1e+06 5.2e+06 6.8e+06 2019 07 24 2.5e+06 383 2.2e+06 4.1e+06 5.0e+06 2019 07 25 2.8e+06 362 2.6e+06 4.4e+06 4.4e+06 2019 07 26 3.5e+06 335 2.6e+06 2.7e+06 2.7e+06 2019 07 27 3.4e+06 311 1.6e+06 1.6e+06 1.3e+06 2019 07 28 2.0e+06 351 2.5e+06 3.5e+06 6.0e+06 2019 07 29 1.7e+06 365 1.6e+06 5.6e+06 7.6e+06 2019 07 30 1.9e+06 365 2.7e+06 5.2e+06 5.9e+06 2019 07 31 9.3e+05 471 3.1e+06 2.6e+07 3.0e+07 2019 08 01 1.3e+06 518 3.3e+06 5.8e+07 5.0e+07 2019 08 02 1.9e+06 442 1.8e+06 2.3e+07 1.7e+07 2019 08 03 2.3e+06 369 1.3e+06 6.7e+06 8.5e+06 2019 08 04 2.1e+06 338 7.5e+05 3.0e+06 6.3e+06 2019 08 05 1.9e+06 572 1.7e+07 2.1e+08 8.1e+08 2019 08 06 7.6e+08 659 1.2e+10 1.8e+09 2.0e+09 2019 08 07 1.2e+09 521 1.3e+09 2.4e+08 1.3e+08 2019 08 08 9.4e+08 493 7.3e+08 1.7e+08 1.2e+08 2019 08 09 7.8e+08 525 7.7e+08 2.4e+08 2.8e+08 2019 08 10 4.8e+08 528 5.2e+08 3.1e+08 2.2e+08 2019 08 11 2.9e+08 444 1.7e+08 7.0e+07 4.5e+07 2019 08 12 2.0e+08 425 8.1e+07 3.4e+07 2.6e+07 2019 08 13 1.9e+08 454 1.5e+08 4.2e+07 3.5e+07 2019 08 14 2.1e+08 454 1.8e+08 4.3e+07 4.0e+07 2019 08 15 2.4e+08 433 1.9e+08 3.8e+07 2.4e+07 2019 08 16 1.3e+08 399 8.9e+07 1.9e+07 1.7e+07 2019 08 17 6.6e+07 359 2.4e+07 8.8e+06 1.1e+07 2019 08 18 3.0e+07 361 1.9e+07 8.8e+06 8.8e+06 2019 08 19 2.6e+07 358 2.1e+07 5.3e+06 7.1e+06 2019 08 20 2.2e+07 395 2.2e+07 1.1e+07 1.6e+07 2019 08 21 2.8e+07 370 2.9e+07 1.0e+07 8.0e+06 2019 08 22 2.7e+07 356 2.2e+07 5.7e+06 4.4e+06 2019 08 23 1.2e+07 368 8.4e+06 6.4e+06 6.7e+06 2019 08 24 2.2e+07 347 1.4e+07 6.1e+06 1.2e+07 2019 08 25 1.8e+07 327 1.0e+07 6.9e+06 1.2e+07 2019 08 26 8.1e+06 326 8.5e+06 5.1e+06 7.3e+06 2019 08 27 9.1e+05 445 2.5e+06 2.2e+07 3.7e+07 2019 08 28 9.5e+05 463 1.5e+06 3.1e+07 3.2e+07 2019 08 29 2.0e+06 373 1.6e+06 8.9e+06 7.9e+06 2019 08 30 1.8e+06 435 3.2e+06 2.7e+07 5.4e+07 2019 08 31 1.0e+08 656 1.9e+09 2.3e+09 7.2e+09 2019 09 01 7.9e+08 696 8.4e+09 1.6e+10 1.7e+10 2019 09 02 1.6e+09 677 7.5e+09 2.6e+10 2.0e+10 2019 09 03 2.5e+09 612 2.7e+09 9.2e+09 5.4e+09 2019 09 04 2.9e+09 522 9.9e+08 1.7e+09 1.2e+09 2019 09 05 3.7e+08 514 1.9e+08 1.5e+09 1.0e+09 2019 09 06 5.8e+08 495 3.5e+08 5.8e+08 3.2e+08 2019 09 07 7.7e+08 457 3.1e+08 1.8e+08 1.3e+08 2019 09 08 3.5e+08 430 1.4e+08 9.1e+07 9.1e+07 2019 09 09 1.7e+08 472 1.7e+08 1.7e+08 1.5e+08 2019 09 10 3.1e+08 485 4.1e+08 1.6e+08 1.2e+08 2019 09 11 3.4e+08 433 2.1e+08 6.1e+07 5.1e+07 2019 09 12 1.5e+08 411 8.5e+07 4.9e+07 3.3e+07 2019 09 13 9.4e+07 475 1.8e+08 1.1e+08 9.3e+07 2019 09 14 1.5e+08 455 1.3e+08 6.3e+07 7.2e+07 2019 09 15 1.0e+08 443 8.4e+07 7.6e+07 8.7e+07