:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2019 Aug 19 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2019 06 20 3.6e+05 357 3.8e+05 9.6e+05 7.9e+05 2019 06 21 4.6e+05 377 4.5e+05 1.4e+06 1.3e+06 2019 06 22 5.7e+05 381 9.2e+05 2.2e+06 2.4e+06 2019 06 23 5.3e+05 337 3.9e+05 1.0e+06 1.8e+06 2019 06 24 3.7e+05 334 2.9e+05 1.2e+06 2.0e+06 2019 06 25 4.3e+05 336 5.5e+05 1.2e+06 1.5e+06 2019 06 26 2.1e+05 381 3.1e+05 1.5e+06 1.3e+06 2019 06 27 3.1e+05 368 4.2e+05 1.0e+06 7.2e+05 2019 06 28 2.9e+05 344 2.1e+05 5.9e+05 4.9e+05 2019 06 29 3.7e+05 329 2.7e+05 4.6e+05 3.1e+05 2019 06 30 3.7e+05 320 3.0e+05 2.7e+05 2.0e+05 2019 07 01 1.1e+05 354 1.2e+05 3.7e+05 2.9e+05 2019 07 02 1.7e+05 326 1.3e+05 2.3e+05 1.8e+05 2019 07 03 1.5e+05 338 1.7e+05 2.8e+05 2.8e+05 2019 07 04 1.8e+05 353 1.9e+05 3.1e+05 3.1e+05 2019 07 05 1.5e+05 416 3.1e+05 8.8e+05 9.6e+05 2019 07 06 2.1e+05 354 1.6e+05 3.5e+05 2.4e+05 2019 07 07 1.7e+05 345 1.7e+05 3.0e+05 3.2e+05 2019 07 08 8.1e+04 326 5.6e+04 1.2e+05 1.3e+05 2019 07 09 7.0e+04 467 2.4e+05 1.0e+06 2.0e+06 2019 07 10 2.1e+08 596 4.2e+09 1.5e+07 1.5e+07 2019 07 11 2.3e+08 535 6.3e+08 9.3e+06 5.2e+06 2019 07 12 2.7e+08 462 2.0e+08 4.5e+06 2.1e+06 2019 07 13 2.0e+08 448 1.3e+08 3.6e+06 2.2e+06 2019 07 14 1.6e+08 441 9.6e+07 3.8e+06 2.6e+06 2019 07 15 9.3e+07 440 8.3e+07 4.3e+06 3.2e+06 2019 07 16 9.7e+07 387 4.5e+07 2.0e+06 1.5e+06 2019 07 17 7.1e+07 433 7.5e+07 4.2e+06 4.4e+06 2019 07 18 9.0e+07 386 4.5e+07 2.1e+06 1.7e+06 2019 07 19 9.6e+07 351 5.0e+07 1.5e+06 1.6e+06 2019 07 20 9.3e+07 322 3.8e+07 9.8e+05 8.4e+05 2019 07 21 6.5e+07 335 5.6e+07 1.3e+06 2.1e+06 2019 07 22 1.7e+06 374 1.7e+06 2.7e+06 3.3e+06 2019 07 23 1.0e+06 404 2.1e+06 5.2e+06 6.8e+06 2019 07 24 2.5e+06 383 2.2e+06 4.1e+06 5.0e+06 2019 07 25 2.8e+06 362 2.6e+06 4.4e+06 4.4e+06 2019 07 26 3.5e+06 335 2.6e+06 2.7e+06 2.7e+06 2019 07 27 3.4e+06 311 1.6e+06 1.6e+06 1.3e+06 2019 07 28 2.0e+06 351 2.5e+06 3.5e+06 6.0e+06 2019 07 29 1.7e+06 365 1.6e+06 5.6e+06 7.6e+06 2019 07 30 1.9e+06 365 2.7e+06 5.2e+06 5.9e+06 2019 07 31 9.3e+05 471 3.1e+06 2.6e+07 3.0e+07 2019 08 01 1.3e+06 518 3.3e+06 5.8e+07 5.0e+07 2019 08 02 1.9e+06 442 1.8e+06 2.3e+07 1.7e+07 2019 08 03 2.3e+06 369 1.3e+06 6.7e+06 8.5e+06 2019 08 04 2.1e+06 338 7.5e+05 3.0e+06 6.3e+06 2019 08 05 1.9e+06 572 1.7e+07 2.1e+08 8.1e+08 2019 08 06 7.6e+08 659 1.2e+10 1.8e+09 2.0e+09 2019 08 07 1.2e+09 521 1.3e+09 2.4e+08 1.3e+08 2019 08 08 9.4e+08 493 7.3e+08 1.7e+08 1.2e+08 2019 08 09 7.8e+08 525 7.7e+08 2.4e+08 2.8e+08 2019 08 10 4.8e+08 528 5.2e+08 3.1e+08 2.2e+08 2019 08 11 2.9e+08 444 1.7e+08 7.0e+07 4.5e+07 2019 08 12 2.0e+08 425 8.1e+07 3.4e+07 2.6e+07 2019 08 13 1.9e+08 454 1.5e+08 4.2e+07 3.5e+07 2019 08 14 2.1e+08 454 1.8e+08 4.3e+07 4.0e+07 2019 08 15 2.4e+08 433 1.9e+08 3.8e+07 2.4e+07 2019 08 16 1.3e+08 399 8.9e+07 1.9e+07 1.7e+07 2019 08 17 6.6e+07 359 2.4e+07 8.8e+06 1.1e+07 2019 08 18 3.0e+07 361 1.9e+07 8.8e+06 8.8e+06