:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2018 Oct 23 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2018 08 24 1.1e+08 358 2.7e+07 4.9e+06 3.0e+06 2018 08 25 3.1e+07 406 1.6e+07 8.0e+06 5.0e+06 2018 08 26 1.2e+08 450 2.3e+08 1.6e+07 1.5e+07 2018 08 27 8.8e+08 572 5.2e+09 2.1e+08 2.3e+08 2018 08 28 3.5e+09 547 8.6e+09 2.6e+08 1.4e+08 2018 08 29 3.1e+09 528 5.4e+09 3.2e+08 2.9e+08 2018 08 30 3.2e+09 421 6.5e+08 6.2e+07 2.4e+07 2018 08 31 1.9e+09 384 9.4e+08 4.0e+07 4.2e+07 2018 09 01 1.0e+09 383 3.3e+08 3.8e+07 3.7e+07 2018 09 02 7.4e+08 335 2.6e+08 1.5e+07 1.4e+07 2018 09 03 4.4e+08 338 2.0e+08 1.3e+07 2.0e+07 2018 09 04 1.1e+08 390 1.1e+08 3.7e+07 6.4e+07 2018 09 05 2.5e+07 483 1.3e+08 3.2e+08 5.5e+08 2018 09 06 5.1e+07 413 4.6e+07 8.0e+07 4.4e+07 2018 09 07 3.7e+07 455 7.2e+07 1.7e+08 2.1e+08 2018 09 08 4.3e+07 387 1.5e+07 3.2e+07 2.5e+07 2018 09 09 3.5e+07 383 2.7e+07 3.6e+07 7.5e+07 2018 09 10 2.2e+07 394 1.7e+07 4.9e+07 7.4e+07 2018 09 11 9.4e+06 560 7.8e+07 1.2e+09 3.0e+09 2018 09 12 4.7e+07 534 7.3e+07 1.2e+09 1.6e+09 2018 09 13 1.5e+08 511 2.8e+08 1.7e+09 2.7e+09 2018 09 14 9.8e+08 548 2.2e+09 5.9e+09 1.3e+10 2018 09 15 1.2e+09 509 9.3e+08 2.6e+09 4.4e+09 2018 09 16 1.5e+09 412 5.2e+08 4.9e+08 4.7e+08 2018 09 17 5.0e+08 495 6.9e+08 9.8e+08 8.3e+08 2018 09 18 2.7e+08 498 2.7e+08 4.9e+08 2.5e+08 2018 09 19 4.0e+08 437 1.7e+08 1.4e+08 1.4e+08 2018 09 20 4.4e+08 365 9.9e+07 4.9e+07 4.5e+07 2018 09 21 4.3e+08 343 1.7e+08 2.3e+07 4.7e+07 2018 09 22 7.9e+07 462 1.8e+08 2.0e+08 5.6e+08 2018 09 23 2.6e+08 448 4.6e+08 1.9e+08 2.9e+08 2018 09 24 1.9e+08 443 2.6e+08 1.7e+08 1.3e+08 2018 09 25 8.5e+07 421 9.3e+07 8.2e+07 6.8e+07 2018 09 26 5.5e+07 435 4.1e+07 7.9e+07 8.9e+07 2018 09 27 9.0e+07 420 7.7e+07 8.7e+07 3.6e+07 2018 09 28 5.2e+07 396 5.0e+07 3.4e+07 2.6e+07 2018 09 29 2.4e+07 412 1.5e+07 3.9e+07 3.8e+07 2018 09 30 3.3e+07 428 3.9e+07 6.3e+07 8.7e+07 2018 10 01 2.2e+07 403 1.8e+07 4.8e+07 4.1e+07 2018 10 02 2.5e+07 470 5.9e+07 1.3e+08 1.4e+08 2018 10 03 3.2e+07 418 1.9e+07 4.1e+07 2.6e+07 2018 10 04 1.8e+07 407 1.6e+07 3.6e+07 2.8e+07 2018 10 05 1.2e+07 384 7.3e+06 1.7e+07 1.2e+07 2018 10 06 1.5e+07 360 7.8e+06 7.1e+06 1.6e+07 2018 10 07 5.8e+06 446 7.8e+06 6.0e+07 1.2e+08 2018 10 08 2.4e+08 542 3.3e+09 5.8e+08 1.1e+09 2018 10 09 1.0e+09 575 3.8e+09 1.2e+09 1.2e+09 2018 10 10 8.9e+08 497 9.7e+08 4.8e+08 3.5e+08 2018 10 11 1.1e+09 484 9.7e+08 4.7e+08 4.7e+08 2018 10 12 1.8e+09 406 5.1e+08 1.0e+08 7.3e+07 2018 10 13 8.7e+08 395 4.9e+08 6.3e+07 7.1e+07 2018 10 14 5.6e+06 533 1.4e+07 5.0e+08 4.5e+08 2018 10 15 1.7e+07 572 4.3e+07 7.6e+08 4.4e+08 2018 10 16 5.4e+07 522 8.3e+07 4.7e+08 2.3e+08 2018 10 17 6.3e+07 422 1.7e+07 6.5e+07 4.1e+07 2018 10 18 6.9e+07 353 1.7e+07 1.5e+07 1.4e+07 2018 10 19 7.2e+07 315 1.7e+07 5.4e+06 6.4e+06 2018 10 20 7.0e+07 298 2.3e+07 2.9e+06 3.6e+06 2018 10 21 1.1e+07 332 9.0e+06 3.1e+06 4.1e+06 2018 10 22 1.0e+06 366 1.1e+06 4.2e+06 6.1e+06