:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2022 Jan 24 0015 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2021 11 25 3.8e+07 444 1.6e+07 3.0e+07 4.0e+07 2021 11 26 6.2e+07 356 1.5e+07 6.7e+06 4.4e+06 2021 11 27 3.1e+07 330 1.2e+07 2.2e+06 5.6e+06 2021 11 28 2.5e+06 375 1.1e+06 4.0e+06 8.6e+06 2021 11 29 2.4e+06 371 3.2e+06 3.8e+06 1.1e+07 2021 11 30 5.3e+06 364 3.7e+06 3.5e+06 1.1e+07 2021 12 01 9.6e+06 508 7.8e+07 5.7e+07 1.9e+08 2021 12 02 1.0e+08 497 2.5e+08 6.2e+07 8.0e+07 2021 12 03 1.1e+08 451 1.4e+08 3.3e+07 2.8e+07 2021 12 04 4.2e+07 479 6.6e+07 4.3e+07 3.8e+07 2021 12 05 5.0e+07 455 3.5e+07 1.9e+07 2.5e+07 2021 12 06 5.0e+07 482 5.8e+07 4.9e+07 4.8e+07 2021 12 07 3.5e+07 478 5.4e+07 3.4e+07 2.1e+07 2021 12 08 4.3e+07 416 1.5e+07 6.2e+06 2.6e+06 2021 12 09 5.6e+07 352 1.3e+07 1.9e+06 1.5e+06 2021 12 10 9.0e+07 314 2.1e+07 1.1e+06 1.4e+06 2021 12 11 1.2e+07 309 5.1e+06 9.7e+05 1.7e+06 2021 12 12 1.2e+07 304 6.3e+06 7.6e+05 1.8e+06 2021 12 13 2.9e+06 318 2.0e+06 9.5e+05 2.3e+06 2021 12 14 1.5e+06 321 1.3e+06 9.6e+05 1.5e+06 2021 12 15 1.9e+06 489 2.6e+07 2.6e+07 7.3e+07 2021 12 16 2.0e+06 512 5.6e+06 6.4e+07 9.4e+07 2021 12 17 1.8e+06 394 1.5e+06 1.5e+07 1.6e+07 2021 12 18 2.8e+06 354 1.6e+06 7.3e+06 8.2e+06 2021 12 19 5.1e+06 376 4.0e+06 6.7e+06 7.7e+06 2021 12 20 1.8e+06 551 1.1e+07 1.3e+08 1.6e+08 2021 12 21 2.5e+07 579 9.8e+07 3.0e+08 9.8e+07 2021 12 22 5.0e+07 595 2.6e+08 4.5e+08 1.4e+08 2021 12 23 1.1e+08 522 3.6e+07 8.4e+07 2.5e+07 2021 12 24 9.2e+07 448 3.8e+07 3.0e+07 1.6e+07 2021 12 25 6.1e+07 464 4.2e+07 4.3e+07 2.4e+07 2021 12 26 8.5e+07 385 2.8e+07 7.5e+06 6.2e+06 2021 12 27 5.1e+07 386 2.1e+07 8.0e+06 9.6e+06 2021 12 28 6.0e+06 472 1.2e+07 3.1e+07 3.2e+07 2021 12 29 1.8e+07 390 9.2e+06 5.8e+06 6.7e+06 2021 12 30 3.7e+06 450 5.7e+06 2.3e+07 3.1e+07 2021 12 31 6.5e+06 436 9.6e+06 2.1e+07 2.0e+07 2022 01 01 4.0e+06 514 9.8e+06 6.3e+07 7.0e+07 2022 01 02 5.5e+06 516 9.5e+06 7.0e+07 3.7e+07 2022 01 03 1.5e+07 526 2.6e+07 7.1e+07 6.6e+07 2022 01 04 3.5e+07 449 1.5e+07 2.2e+07 8.1e+06 2022 01 05 4.1e+07 409 3.2e+07 9.3e+06 6.0e+06 2022 01 06 4.1e+07 393 1.3e+07 4.6e+06 2.1e+06 2022 01 07 4.0e+07 388 2.5e+07 3.5e+06 2.4e+06 2022 01 08 5.9e+07 341 2.0e+07 1.6e+06 1.9e+06 2022 01 09 1.5e+06 477 4.0e+06 1.8e+07 3.6e+07 2022 01 10 1.4e+06 439 1.6e+06 8.6e+06 9.2e+06 2022 01 11 1.3e+06 394 9.4e+05 3.4e+06 3.8e+06 2022 01 12 2.0e+06 384 1.3e+06 2.6e+06 2.3e+06 2022 01 13 1.4e+06 442 2.4e+06 5.4e+06 8.2e+06 2022 01 14 1.6e+06 366 7.3e+05 1.9e+06 2.5e+06 2022 01 15 1.8e+06 499 7.2e+06 2.2e+07 7.6e+07 2022 01 16 4.8e+07 562 1.6e+08 7.2e+07 1.2e+08 2022 01 17 8.9e+07 544 2.5e+08 9.4e+07 1.4e+08 2022 01 18 1.5e+08 564 3.6e+08 1.9e+08 1.6e+08 2022 01 19 1.2e+08 613 3.2e+08 4.2e+08 2.8e+08 2022 01 20 1.3e+08 478 4.9e+07 4.5e+07 2.2e+07 2022 01 21 1.4e+08 457 7.1e+07 3.4e+07 2.9e+07 2022 01 22 1.3e+08 432 4.3e+07 1.5e+07 1.1e+07 2022 01 23 2.4e+08 361 5.8e+07 3.4e+06 2.8e+06