:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2021 Sep 28 0015 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2021 07 30 1.9e+07 475 3.7e+07 3.2e+07 1.8e+07 2021 07 31 9.5e+06 448 1.0e+07 2.4e+07 1.2e+07 2021 08 01 1.2e+07 401 6.7e+06 8.5e+06 5.1e+06 2021 08 02 1.0e+07 389 5.6e+06 6.5e+06 4.9e+06 2021 08 03 4.3e+06 342 2.1e+06 2.4e+06 2.1e+06 2021 08 04 3.4e+07 330 1.5e+07 1.5e+06 1.6e+06 2021 08 05 6.0e+07 301 2.2e+07 7.8e+05 6.7e+05 2021 08 06 1.9e+07 305 1.1e+07 6.4e+05 7.5e+05 2021 08 07 1.5e+06 400 3.2e+06 3.2e+06 3.4e+06 2021 08 08 1.8e+06 383 2.7e+06 2.7e+06 2.8e+06 2021 08 09 1.9e+06 356 1.5e+06 2.2e+06 3.3e+06 2021 08 10 1.6e+06 412 2.7e+06 7.7e+06 1.1e+07 2021 08 11 1.5e+06 454 3.6e+06 1.7e+07 2.4e+07 2021 08 12 1.8e+06 413 1.6e+06 1.1e+07 1.2e+07 2021 08 13 1.7e+06 402 2.1e+06 1.3e+07 1.6e+07 2021 08 14 2.2e+06 361 1.3e+06 5.0e+06 5.5e+06 2021 08 15 1.8e+06 429 3.0e+06 1.5e+07 2.7e+07 2021 08 16 5.6e+06 462 1.0e+07 2.6e+07 3.2e+07 2021 08 17 1.7e+07 449 2.4e+07 2.2e+07 1.6e+07 2021 08 18 1.6e+07 416 1.5e+07 1.1e+07 5.9e+06 2021 08 19 1.6e+07 342 4.6e+06 1.7e+06 1.0e+06 2021 08 20 1.4e+06 321 5.1e+05 9.5e+05 6.6e+05 2021 08 21 1.0e+06 329 7.2e+05 8.3e+05 9.4e+05 2021 08 22 1.3e+06 308 6.1e+05 5.2e+05 9.1e+05 2021 08 23 1.3e+06 296 8.3e+05 5.3e+05 9.6e+05 2021 08 24 1.2e+06 313 1.4e+06 6.5e+05 1.3e+06 2021 08 25 1.4e+06 373 2.6e+06 1.6e+06 3.2e+06 2021 08 26 1.3e+06 385 2.7e+06 2.4e+06 2.9e+06 2021 08 27 1.8e+06 401 3.8e+06 3.8e+06 3.6e+06 2021 08 28 2.8e+08 366 2.0e+08 2.0e+06 1.3e+06 2021 08 29 3.5e+08 380 3.9e+08 2.6e+06 2.4e+06 2021 08 30 1.6e+08 399 2.3e+08 5.5e+06 3.9e+06 2021 08 31 7.7e+07 361 6.1e+07 3.2e+06 1.8e+06 2021 09 01 1.3e+08 327 5.5e+07 1.5e+06 1.3e+06 2021 09 02 2.5e+08 334 1.2e+08 2.2e+06 1.8e+06 2021 09 03 4.5e+07 371 7.4e+07 4.7e+06 5.5e+06 2021 09 04 2.8e+07 380 2.9e+07 7.0e+06 7.3e+06 2021 09 05 4.5e+07 317 2.7e+07 3.0e+06 3.2e+06 2021 09 06 5.3e+07 311 2.9e+07 2.8e+06 2.9e+06 2021 09 07 1.6e+07 331 1.4e+07 3.3e+06 3.7e+06 2021 09 08 2.5e+06 387 5.2e+06 1.2e+07 1.7e+07 2021 09 09 3.0e+06 391 4.8e+06 2.2e+07 2.3e+07 2021 09 10 2.7e+06 357 2.8e+06 1.6e+07 2.0e+07 2021 09 11 1.3e+06 329 8.6e+05 9.2e+06 1.1e+07 2021 09 12 1.6e+06 357 1.8e+06 1.5e+07 1.7e+07 2021 09 13 1.8e+06 465 8.2e+06 1.4e+08 1.2e+08 2021 09 14 5.0e+06 357 3.0e+06 1.5e+07 5.2e+06 2021 09 15 1.1e+07 387 1.4e+07 2.8e+07 2.1e+07 2021 09 16 1.5e+07 324 4.6e+06 5.7e+06 2.3e+06 2021 09 17 2.8e+06 364 3.4e+06 9.4e+06 9.7e+06 2021 09 18 1.2e+06 386 1.2e+06 1.2e+07 7.9e+06 2021 09 19 1.1e+06 326 8.0e+05 2.9e+06 2.6e+06 2021 09 20 1.4e+06 312 7.5e+05 2.0e+06 1.9e+06 2021 09 21 1.3e+06 328 1.2e+06 1.9e+06 3.0e+06 2021 09 22 1.6e+06 374 2.4e+06 5.0e+06 8.2e+06 2021 09 23 1.6e+07 383 3.4e+07 7.5e+06 6.7e+06 2021 09 24 4.8e+06 469 2.6e+07 4.1e+07 5.4e+07 2021 09 25 3.6e+06 516 9.1e+06 9.7e+07 5.2e+07 2021 09 26 7.7e+06 422 7.7e+06 1.9e+07 1.1e+07 2021 09 27 7.9e+06 388 4.0e+06 1.0e+07 8.5e+06