:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2025 Jan 18 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2024 11 19 1.3e+07 378 1.3e+07 8.9e+05 7.3e+05 2024 11 20 1.9e+06 371 1.9e+06 8.2e+05 7.4e+05 2024 11 21 1.3e+06 387 1.5e+06 1.2e+06 1.3e+06 2024 11 22 2.3e+06 400 2.7e+06 2.0e+06 2.7e+06 2024 11 23 1.6e+06 396 1.8e+06 2.7e+06 4.2e+06 2024 11 24 2.0e+06 419 3.0e+06 5.3e+06 7.8e+06 2024 11 25 1.1e+06 410 1.2e+06 4.9e+06 5.8e+06 2024 11 26 1.6e+06 367 1.2e+06 2.7e+06 2.3e+06 2024 11 27 2.0e+06 353 1.4e+06 1.6e+06 1.6e+06 2024 11 28 1.3e+06 353 8.9e+05 1.4e+06 1.5e+06 2024 11 29 1.6e+06 392 2.1e+06 3.3e+06 4.2e+06 2024 11 30 1.1e+06 397 1.4e+06 3.9e+06 4.1e+06 2024 12 01 1.1e+06 417 1.6e+06 5.1e+06 4.7e+06 2024 12 02 1.1e+06 381 9.0e+05 2.4e+06 1.7e+06 2024 12 03 1.6e+06 435 2.8e+06 5.8e+06 6.3e+06 2024 12 04 1.1e+06 466 1.8e+06 1.2e+07 8.9e+06 2024 12 05 1.5e+06 430 1.9e+06 6.8e+06 5.1e+06 2024 12 06 1.9e+06 382 1.1e+06 2.6e+06 1.8e+06 2024 12 07 1.7e+06 367 1.1e+06 1.4e+06 1.2e+06 2024 12 08 1.3e+06 370 1.0e+06 1.2e+06 9.8e+05 2024 12 09 1.1e+06 474 3.4e+06 5.8e+06 5.8e+06 2024 12 10 7.4e+06 419 6.6e+06 2.5e+06 1.5e+06 2024 12 11 2.3e+07 382 1.6e+07 1.6e+06 1.1e+06 2024 12 12 3.9e+07 353 1.8e+07 9.2e+05 6.9e+05 2024 12 13 2.6e+07 338 1.4e+07 6.3e+05 6.1e+05 2024 12 14 7.1e+06 320 3.8e+06 5.0e+05 4.2e+05 2024 12 15 1.2e+06 393 2.3e+06 1.6e+06 1.9e+06 2024 12 16 1.3e+06 391 1.3e+06 1.4e+06 1.2e+06 2024 12 17 1.3e+06 551 2.2e+07 5.5e+07 7.6e+07 2024 12 18 5.5e+06 608 2.0e+07 1.7e+08 1.1e+08 2024 12 19 1.1e+07 458 7.6e+06 2.5e+07 1.5e+07 2024 12 20 1.0e+07 472 8.7e+06 3.4e+07 2.8e+07 2024 12 21 2.1e+07 513 2.6e+07 5.0e+07 4.2e+07 2024 12 22 2.4e+07 613 8.1e+07 3.3e+08 2.7e+08 2024 12 23 4.3e+07 565 5.7e+07 1.8e+08 1.0e+08 2024 12 24 2.7e+07 550 2.7e+07 1.6e+08 1.3e+08 2024 12 25 2.9e+07 475 1.2e+07 4.2e+07 2.5e+07 2024 12 26 3.4e+07 384 9.2e+06 8.2e+06 9.2e+06 2024 12 27 2.8e+07 331 5.4e+06 3.1e+06 2.3e+06 2024 12 28 1.8e+07 318 8.4e+06 1.4e+06 2.6e+06 2024 12 29 7.0e+06 365 4.1e+06 2.7e+06 6.0e+06 2024 12 30 3.2e+06 343 2.6e+06 1.6e+06 1.9e+06 2024 12 31 4.7e+06 384 7.4e+06 2.3e+06 4.6e+06 2025 01 01 1.1e+06 497 3.5e+06 1.7e+07 2.8e+07 2025 01 02 4.8e+06 501 1.7e+07 3.1e+07 3.4e+07 2025 01 03 2.8e+06 434 2.5e+06 9.9e+06 1.0e+07 2025 01 04 3.0e+06 546 8.8e+06 6.9e+07 1.0e+08 2025 01 05 1.9e+07 588 4.9e+07 1.3e+08 2.0e+08 2025 01 06 5.8e+07 539 6.0e+07 9.6e+07 6.0e+07 2025 01 07 8.9e+07 533 1.5e+08 9.0e+07 4.6e+07 2025 01 08 6.8e+07 449 1.8e+07 1.0e+07 4.7e+06 2025 01 09 4.1e+07 386 9.6e+06 4.1e+06 4.3e+06 2025 01 10 3.9e+06 425 3.0e+06 8.2e+06 1.1e+07 2025 01 11 4.6e+06 427 4.2e+06 5.8e+06 1.0e+07 2025 01 12 1.1e+07 394 4.8e+06 3.0e+06 6.0e+06 2025 01 13 2.7e+06 431 3.4e+06 6.7e+06 1.2e+07 2025 01 14 7.3e+06 447 9.1e+06 7.4e+06 9.5e+06 2025 01 15 1.4e+07 465 2.4e+07 1.2e+07 2.2e+07 2025 01 16 1.4e+07 455 1.5e+07 1.8e+07 4.1e+07 2025 01 17 1.2e+07 519 2.9e+07 7.1e+07 1.2e+08