:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2019 Feb 16 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2018 12 18 4.7e+06 424 1.1e+07 5.5e+06 5.4e+06 2018 12 19 6.5e+06 483 2.3e+07 1.8e+07 1.7e+07 2018 12 20 6.0e+06 565 2.6e+07 1.1e+08 7.5e+07 2018 12 21 1.3e+07 475 1.3e+07 3.2e+07 1.9e+07 2018 12 22 1.4e+07 381 4.7e+06 8.3e+06 7.2e+06 2018 12 23 1.7e+07 346 6.0e+06 4.0e+06 4.2e+06 2018 12 24 1.4e+07 338 6.3e+06 2.5e+06 3.0e+06 2018 12 25 6.7e+06 348 4.3e+06 2.4e+06 2.2e+06 2018 12 26 1.4e+06 352 1.3e+06 1.8e+06 2.1e+06 2018 12 27 1.8e+06 333 1.0e+06 1.0e+06 1.2e+06 2018 12 28 1.8e+06 525 1.6e+07 4.0e+07 1.0e+08 2018 12 29 6.5e+07 531 2.0e+08 6.8e+07 6.6e+07 2018 12 30 1.2e+08 537 3.5e+08 1.4e+08 1.3e+08 2018 12 31 8.5e+07 482 7.3e+07 6.4e+07 4.6e+07 2019 01 01 3.6e+07 422 1.5e+07 2.2e+07 3.1e+07 2019 01 02 3.4e+07 362 9.4e+06 1.1e+07 1.8e+07 2019 01 03 3.2e+07 305 1.0e+07 3.5e+06 9.9e+06 2019 01 04 1.6e+07 331 7.9e+06 4.0e+06 1.1e+07 2019 01 05 1.0e+06 494 6.2e+06 5.0e+07 1.3e+08 2019 01 06 3.7e+07 522 1.6e+08 9.3e+07 9.0e+07 2019 01 07 1.1e+08 500 2.2e+08 7.8e+07 4.4e+07 2019 01 08 9.1e+07 434 6.0e+07 2.3e+07 1.3e+07 2019 01 09 5.5e+07 420 2.8e+07 1.7e+07 1.0e+07 2019 01 10 4.9e+07 376 2.2e+07 6.8e+06 3.0e+06 2019 01 11 1.6e+07 455 2.4e+07 2.0e+07 2.5e+07 2019 01 12 1.3e+07 394 5.2e+06 8.7e+06 7.2e+06 2019 01 13 2.0e+07 319 9.9e+06 3.2e+06 5.8e+06 2019 01 14 9.5e+06 378 8.6e+06 8.9e+06 1.7e+07 2019 01 15 5.0e+06 368 5.5e+06 7.0e+06 7.2e+06 2019 01 16 1.7e+06 383 2.2e+06 7.3e+06 8.2e+06 2019 01 17 4.1e+05 442 7.0e+05 1.7e+07 1.1e+07 2019 01 18 5.8e+05 448 1.1e+06 1.2e+07 6.0e+06 2019 01 19 9.5e+05 386 4.7e+05 2.9e+06 1.6e+06 2019 01 20 9.5e+05 352 5.1e+05 1.7e+06 1.4e+06 2019 01 21 1.1e+06 322 5.0e+05 8.8e+05 6.5e+05 2019 01 22 7.6e+05 319 5.3e+05 6.1e+05 1.1e+06 2019 01 23 3.2e+05 416 5.5e+05 3.5e+06 7.5e+06 2019 01 24 4.0e+05 580 3.9e+06 7.1e+07 1.3e+08 2019 01 25 3.4e+07 585 1.6e+08 1.3e+08 1.2e+08 2019 01 26 7.9e+07 492 9.0e+07 4.1e+07 2.1e+07 2019 01 27 7.3e+07 427 3.4e+07 1.1e+07 3.9e+06 2019 01 28 7.3e+07 387 2.4e+07 3.2e+06 1.8e+06 2019 01 29 5.7e+07 342 1.3e+07 1.5e+06 1.1e+06 2019 01 30 6.7e+07 295 1.7e+07 5.6e+05 7.8e+05 2019 01 31 1.1e+07 371 1.1e+07 1.7e+06 3.1e+06 2019 02 01 2.2e+07 537 2.8e+08 3.3e+07 7.2e+07 2019 02 02 2.6e+08 566 1.4e+09 9.1e+07 8.2e+07 2019 02 03 4.1e+08 556 1.7e+09 1.8e+08 9.5e+07 2019 02 04 5.2e+08 435 2.4e+08 2.5e+07 1.2e+07 2019 02 05 9.9e+07 365 2.2e+07 6.7e+06 6.6e+06 2019 02 06 8.2e+07 411 5.1e+07 1.8e+07 1.5e+07 2019 02 07 1.4e+08 422 1.9e+08 1.7e+07 1.5e+07 2019 02 08 8.9e+07 447 8.5e+07 2.5e+07 2.6e+07 2019 02 09 8.5e+07 455 1.1e+08 4.9e+07 3.9e+07 2019 02 10 1.3e+08 439 1.4e+08 4.7e+07 3.8e+07 2019 02 11 7.5e+07 388 3.8e+07 2.1e+07 2.0e+07 2019 02 12 1.7e+07 377 1.1e+07 2.2e+07 3.2e+07 2019 02 13 1.3e+07 450 2.3e+07 9.1e+07 8.2e+07 2019 02 14 3.8e+07 504 1.2e+08 1.7e+08 1.2e+08 2019 02 15 4.5e+07 452 3.0e+07 5.5e+07 3.1e+07