:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2019 Nov 12 0015 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2019 09 13 9.4e+07 475 1.8e+08 1.1e+08 9.3e+07 2019 09 14 1.5e+08 455 1.3e+08 6.3e+07 7.2e+07 2019 09 15 1.0e+08 443 8.4e+07 7.6e+07 8.7e+07 2019 09 16 1.9e+07 446 2.5e+07 9.5e+07 8.0e+07 2019 09 17 2.8e+07 392 1.5e+07 2.4e+07 1.7e+07 2019 09 18 1.9e+07 408 1.5e+07 2.6e+07 2.3e+07 2019 09 19 3.0e+07 371 1.4e+07 1.1e+07 9.0e+06 2019 09 20 4.7e+07 322 1.7e+07 3.8e+06 3.4e+06 2019 09 21 1.4e+07 336 8.9e+06 2.9e+06 4.0e+06 2019 09 22 8.4e+05 341 4.6e+05 1.8e+06 2.1e+06 2019 09 23 2.0e+06 315 1.2e+06 9.8e+05 1.1e+06 2019 09 24 9.8e+05 371 1.4e+06 2.2e+06 6.2e+06 2019 09 25 1.0e+06 432 2.0e+06 1.0e+07 3.7e+07 2019 09 26 1.3e+06 379 1.5e+06 7.6e+06 2.0e+07 2019 09 27 3.1e+06 490 1.5e+07 6.7e+07 3.1e+08 2019 09 28 3.9e+08 642 6.4e+09 1.5e+09 3.3e+09 2019 09 29 1.6e+09 530 3.1e+09 4.2e+08 3.2e+08 2019 09 30 3.8e+08 461 2.5e+08 1.5e+08 1.2e+08 2019 10 01 1.1e+08 477 8.1e+07 1.2e+08 8.5e+07 2019 10 02 1.6e+08 477 1.2e+08 8.6e+07 7.7e+07 2019 10 03 2.5e+08 426 1.1e+08 4.1e+07 2.7e+07 2019 10 04 1.6e+08 402 9.8e+07 1.9e+07 1.3e+07 2019 10 05 9.0e+07 390 3.6e+07 8.4e+06 6.7e+06 2019 10 06 7.2e+07 398 5.1e+07 1.1e+07 1.3e+07 2019 10 07 6.9e+07 365 3.6e+07 7.0e+06 5.1e+06 2019 10 08 1.7e+07 387 2.1e+07 8.6e+06 8.0e+06 2019 10 09 1.8e+07 389 1.6e+07 9.0e+06 1.2e+07 2019 10 10 1.1e+07 465 2.7e+07 4.8e+07 5.8e+07 2019 10 11 1.8e+07 463 3.5e+07 5.5e+07 3.7e+07 2019 10 12 3.0e+07 401 2.5e+07 2.1e+07 1.7e+07 2019 10 13 4.2e+07 344 1.4e+07 8.6e+06 6.6e+06 2019 10 14 3.8e+07 331 2.0e+07 5.9e+06 3.9e+06 2019 10 15 8.2e+06 352 7.4e+06 5.6e+06 3.2e+06 2019 10 16 3.4e+06 391 4.0e+06 7.1e+06 5.7e+06 2019 10 17 5.1e+06 397 4.9e+06 9.0e+06 5.8e+06 2019 10 18 6.5e+06 352 4.9e+06 3.9e+06 1.8e+06 2019 10 19 6.5e+06 345 4.5e+06 2.0e+06 1.6e+06 2019 10 20 3.3e+06 340 1.5e+06 1.5e+06 1.6e+06 2019 10 21 7.9e+05 337 7.4e+05 2.2e+06 2.7e+06 2019 10 22 1.4e+06 355 1.8e+06 2.9e+06 5.7e+06 2019 10 23 1.1e+06 339 7.8e+05 2.0e+06 4.5e+06 2019 10 24 5.8e+05 450 2.2e+06 2.2e+07 5.2e+07 2019 10 25 4.9e+08 602 1.7e+10 5.9e+08 9.4e+08 2019 10 26 4.6e+08 605 3.0e+09 1.2e+09 8.3e+08 2019 10 27 1.0e+09 589 3.4e+09 1.8e+09 9.4e+08 2019 10 28 1.7e+09 503 8.7e+08 4.4e+08 1.9e+08 2019 10 29 1.0e+09 410 2.1e+08 6.6e+07 3.9e+07 2019 10 30 5.2e+08 378 1.4e+08 3.0e+07 1.9e+07 2019 10 31 3.2e+07 424 2.8e+07 4.0e+07 3.1e+07 2019 11 01 8.4e+07 404 4.4e+07 1.8e+07 9.4e+06 2019 11 02 1.1e+08 358 4.9e+07 6.8e+06 6.1e+06 2019 11 03 1.4e+08 323 3.8e+07 3.7e+06 3.5e+06 2019 11 04 9.2e+07 340 8.1e+07 5.2e+06 8.7e+06 2019 11 05 7.1e+07 401 1.3e+08 2.1e+07 3.7e+07 2019 11 06 4.6e+07 398 7.5e+07 2.5e+07 2.1e+07 2019 11 07 4.1e+07 390 5.1e+07 1.9e+07 1.6e+07 2019 11 08 4.9e+07 332 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 -9.9e+04 2019 11 09 4.1e+07 335 1.4e+07 8.9e+06 1.1e+07 2019 11 10 3.9e+07 316 2.5e+07 6.1e+06 6.2e+06 2019 11 11 2.0e+07 351 2.8e+07 1.1e+07 1.3e+07