:Data_list: stats.txt :Created: 2026 Sep 26 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 9/25/2025 - 9/25/2026 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 1 0.04 -1.05 0.30 -0.15 -0.53 0.59 + 2 -1.35 -1.31 -0.79 -3.63 -2.10 -0.66 + 3 -1.51 -0.76 -0.90 -4.60 -1.73 -1.00