:Data_list: stats.txt :Created: 2026 Oct 14 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 10/13/2025 - 10/13/2026 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 1 0.05 -0.90 0.25 0.20 -0.23 0.08 + 2 -1.51 -1.29 -1.07 -3.63 -1.86 -4.28 + 3 -1.60 -0.68 -1.11 -3.37 -0.75 -3.98