:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2025 Jul 06 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4130 (S11E03, Cro/beta)
produced an impulsive C1.5/Sf flare at 05/1218 UTC. Shortly after, this
region produced an impulsive C1.3/Sf flare at 1346 UTC. This region
maintains a rudimentary penumbra configuration. Region 4127 (S19W47,
Cso/beta) grew slightly in length. The remaining active regions on the
visible disk were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed in available coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to reach low levels with a slight chance for
R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 06-08 Jul.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal
to moderate levels over 06-08 Jul. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels through 08 Jul.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters reflected the onset of negative polarity coronal
hole influence during the period. The total magnetic field strength
varied between 5-14 nT and the Bz component reached as far south as -12
nT. Solar wind speeds slowly increased from a low of about 390 km/s
early in the period to a peak of around 485 km/s. The phi angle was in a
predominately negative orientation.

.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to remain mildly elevated over 06-07
Jul due to negative polarity coronal hole influence. A return to nominal
levels is expected by 08 Jul.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field reached active levels in response to negative
polarity coronal hole influence.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to reach quiet to unsettled levels,
with isolated active periods early on 06 July, due to negative polarity
coronal hole influence. Conditions are expected to return to
predominantly quiet to unsettled levels for the remainder of 06-07 July,
becoming mostly quiet by 08 Jul.