:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Nov 07 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 4566 (S06E13,
Dkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced numerous C-flares throughout the period,
the largest being a C6.2 at 07/1157 UTC. Region 4566 exhibited minor
growth and Region 4570 (S13E54, Bxo/beta) gained an additional spot, but
remained mostly quiet. The remaining regions were either stable or in
decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph
imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares
(R1-R2/Minor-Moderate), and a slight chance for an X-class flare
(R3-Strong), over 07-09 Nov.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak
flux of 4631 pfu observed at 06/1720 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton
flux was at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is likely to be at normal to
moderate levels on 07-09 Nov. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is
expected to remain at background levels through 09 Nov.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters reflected the influence from a negative polarity
CH HSS. Total magnetic field strength reached 15 nT, and the Bz
component reached as far south as -11 nT. Solar wind speeds increased
steadily from a low of around 350 km/s to a peak of 510 km/s. Phi was
mostly oriented in the negative solar sector.

.Forecast...
The solar wind environment is expected to remain enhanced as CH HSS
influences continued over 07-09 Nov.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm
levels, with a chance for G2 (Moderate) storm levels, on 07-09 Nov due
to anticipated influence from a negative polarity CH HSS.