:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2020 Feb 28 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
The visible disk remained spotless, keeping solar activity at very low
levels. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite
imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to remain very low on 28-29 Feb and 01 Mar.

Energetic Particles

.24 hr Summary...
The 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels while the greater than
10 MeV proton flux remained at background values.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected reach moderate levels
on 28-29 Feb and moderate to high levels on 01 Mar due to HSS influence.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to continue at
background values.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters remained near background levels. Solar wind speeds
ranged from 320 - 380 km/s, total field fluctuated from 1-7 nT, and
the Bz component varied between +/-4 nT. Phi was mostly negative for the
majority of the period before rotating to a mostly positive orientation
after 28/0600 UTC.

.Forecast...
Near background conditions are expected through 28 Feb. An enhancement
in solar wind parameters is expected early on 29 Feb, lasting through 01
Mar as an equatorial, negative polarity CH HSS moves into a geoeffective
position.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 28 Feb. On 29
Feb through 01 Mar, field conditions are expected to be at quiet to
unsettled levels, with isolated active intervals likely on 01 Mar. This
increase in activity is due to negative polarity CH HSS influence.