:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2020 Jul 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 1 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Jul 10-Jul 12 2020 is 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Jul 10-Jul 12 2020

            Jul 10     Jul 11     Jul 12
00-03UT        2          2          2     
03-06UT        1          1          3     
06-09UT        1          1          3     
09-12UT        1          1          3     
12-15UT        1          1          2     
15-18UT        1          1          1     
18-21UT        2          2          2     
21-00UT        2          2          2     

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.  

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-16 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Jul 10-Jul 12 2020

              Jul 10  Jul 11  Jul 12
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Jul 10-Jul 12 2020

              Jul 10        Jul 11        Jul 12
R1-R2            1%            1%            1%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.