:Data_list: refm.txt :Created: 2023 Dec 07 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relative Electron Forcast Model # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # Observed values valid on date shown (00-00 UTC) # Forecasts valid for subsequent 24-hour periods, as specified # by forecast day number # # Units: fluence and forecast = electrons/cm2-da-sr # Missing data: SW Speed = -999, other fields = -9.9e+04 # # Observed Observed # UTC Date Fluence SW Speed Forecast Forecast Forecast # YR MO DA (>2 MeV) (km/s) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 #------------------------------------------------------- 2023 10 08 5.2e+06 340 8.4e+06 2.8e+06 2.8e+06 2023 10 09 3.4e+06 332 7.0e+05 1.1e+06 1.8e+06 2023 10 10 1.4e+06 321 1.0e+06 7.6e+05 1.2e+06 2023 10 11 3.9e+06 292 2.0e+06 4.4e+05 6.4e+05 2023 10 12 5.5e+06 306 4.4e+06 5.3e+05 8.9e+05 2023 10 13 2.2e+06 394 6.8e+06 2.8e+06 6.9e+06 2023 10 14 1.2e+06 498 6.5e+06 2.7e+07 7.4e+07 2023 10 15 1.6e+06 412 1.7e+06 1.2e+07 9.9e+06 2023 10 16 1.6e+06 349 1.3e+06 2.9e+06 2.6e+06 2023 10 17 2.0e+06 300 5.6e+05 6.0e+05 4.3e+05 2023 10 18 1.7e+06 385 1.4e+07 5.4e+06 4.5e+06 2023 10 19 1.3e+06 362 2.2e+05 1.2e+06 8.7e+05 2023 10 20 1.9e+06 353 5.7e+06 1.9e+06 2.0e+06 2023 10 21 1.2e+06 305 1.8e+05 3.9e+05 3.8e+05 2023 10 22 1.8e+06 320 1.8e+06 4.7e+05 7.3e+05 2023 10 23 2.8e+06 356 3.4e+06 9.3e+05 1.0e+06 2023 10 24 5.3e+06 383 2.7e+07 3.1e+06 3.1e+06 2023 10 25 7.2e+06 325 4.4e+06 1.5e+06 1.4e+06 2023 10 26 1.3e+06 415 1.6e+06 3.5e+06 3.3e+06 2023 10 27 6.9e+06 413 9.1e+06 3.1e+06 2.1e+06 2023 10 28 2.7e+06 452 6.2e+06 9.6e+06 8.4e+06 2023 10 29 3.3e+07 589 4.1e+08 2.4e+08 1.8e+08 2023 10 30 8.0e+07 538 2.2e+08 2.4e+08 1.4e+08 2023 10 31 6.8e+07 490 5.4e+07 9.9e+07 4.5e+07 2023 11 01 8.5e+07 475 9.3e+07 9.1e+07 5.9e+07 2023 11 02 1.1e+08 447 5.5e+07 4.6e+07 2.6e+07 2023 11 03 1.3e+08 470 1.7e+08 7.1e+07 4.7e+07 2023 11 04 1.6e+08 381 4.3e+07 1.0e+07 5.7e+06 2023 11 05 1.1e+06 415 8.2e+05 1.4e+07 9.0e+06 2023 11 06 1.6e+06 503 3.5e+06 5.5e+07 6.1e+07 2023 11 07 4.6e+07 679 5.4e+08 1.8e+09 1.9e+09 2023 11 08 4.8e+07 502 1.3e+07 1.5e+08 1.5e+08 2023 11 09 9.9e+07 483 1.2e+08 1.1e+08 1.5e+08 2023 11 10 1.6e+08 596 9.9e+09 3.4e+09 1.4e+09 2023 11 11 2.3e+08 515 1.0e+08 1.2e+09 4.2e+08 2023 11 12 1.3e+08 508 2.1e+07 2.6e+08 2.9e+08 2023 11 13 3.7e+06 427 1.6e+06 3.3e+07 2.1e+07 2023 11 14 2.3e+06 396 1.3e+06 1.1e+07 1.3e+07 2023 11 15 3.0e+06 394 1.4e+06 7.9e+06 6.0e+06 2023 11 16 7.2e+06 420 9.3e+06 7.7e+06 8.4e+06 2023 11 17 1.1e+07 389 5.4e+06 3.3e+06 3.8e+06 2023 11 18 1.3e+07 306 3.5e+06 7.8e+05 7.7e+05 2023 11 19 5.9e+06 339 4.8e+06 8.9e+05 1.2e+06 2023 11 20 7.2e+06 324 3.5e+06 4.4e+05 9.5e+05 2023 11 21 1.8e+06 357 1.8e+06 9.9e+05 2.3e+06 2023 11 22 3.3e+06 518 4.7e+07 2.6e+07 7.5e+07 2023 11 23 2.6e+07 443 3.1e+07 8.9e+06 1.9e+07 2023 11 24 3.7e+07 413 3.2e+07 6.6e+06 1.2e+07 2023 11 25 1.9e+06 531 6.3e+06 6.5e+07 1.4e+08 2023 11 26 1.5e+06 524 2.5e+06 6.1e+07 6.9e+07 2023 11 27 2.4e+06 459 2.2e+06 1.9e+07 1.5e+07 2023 11 28 3.7e+06 463 3.2e+06 1.4e+07 1.2e+07 2023 11 29 1.1e+07 440 5.6e+06 6.2e+06 3.8e+06 2023 11 30 1.4e+07 463 1.6e+07 8.7e+06 1.1e+07 2023 12 01 1.8e+06 486 1.9e+06 1.2e+07 1.3e+07 2023 12 02 1.1e+06 468 1.2e+06 8.7e+06 6.1e+06 2023 12 03 1.3e+06 439 1.0e+06 4.9e+06 5.9e+06 2023 12 04 1.5e+06 536 2.7e+06 3.0e+07 4.6e+07 2023 12 05 2.2e+06 538 4.0e+06 4.3e+07 3.7e+07 2023 12 06 2.5e+07 595 1.2e+08 1.7e+08 2.0e+08