:Data_list: stats.txt :Created: 2016 Mar 14 0014 UTC # # Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center. # Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov # # Relativistic Electron Forecast Model - Performance Statistics # Based on observed solar wind speed from ACE spacecraft # (ACE mode, 00 UTC Model Run) # # See documentation for details: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/refm/doc/REFMDoc.html # # Statistics based on REFM output from: 3/14/2015 - 3/13/2016 # # Missing data: -9.99 # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Forecast --------- Complete Stats ---------- ---- Stats for Last 30 Days ---- # Lead Time Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- Prediction --- Skill Score vs --- # (Days) Efficiency Persistence Recurrence Efficiency Persistence Recurrence #------------------------------------------------------------------------------- + 1 0.72 0.28 0.81 0.83 0.47 0.93 + 2 0.49 0.37 0.65 0.07 -0.10 0.64 + 3 0.33 0.44 0.55 -0.48 -0.09 0.43